The 2024 election may very well come down to one battleground.
Despite the media spin, Kamala Harris faces an uphill fight.
And Kamala Harris has this bad problem in the most critical swing state.
Latino voters continue to move to Trump
Pennsylvania is the make-or-break state on the map for Democrats.
There is no path to 270 Electoral College votes unless Harris wins this key battleground.
And while Pennsylvania looks like a rust belt state dominated by the white working class and the black vote in major cities, that isn’t necessarily the case.
Hispanic voters are a growing critical constituency.
And MSNBC’s Steve Kornacki told the audience of Morning Joe that key areas of Pennsylvania that are heavily Hispanic are shifting towards the Republican Party.
“Take a look, here’s Allentown. Lehigh County, this has the highest concentration of Hispanics in Pennsylvania,” Kornacki began.
“It’s a 54% Hispanic, and look at this, the trend has been toward Republicans. The state was moving toward the Democrats between ’16 and ’20, but in Allentown, Clinton won it by 42 [points] in ’16, fell down to 35 in 2020. This is an area, we’ve talked so much about the polls showing Trump making more inroads with Latino voters, this is the kind of place where the Trump folks think this trend can continue,” Kornacki explained.
Trump’s message wins the day
The shift in these Hispanic communities in Pennsylvania owes entirely to Donald Trump and his American First message of closing the border, renegotiating trade deals, and keeping America out of foreign wars.
“Again, look at this trend. It was blue in 2012, Hazleton was for Obama. And then Trump comes along, he carries it by 5, he improves it to 11. Again, this is a kind of place where Trump folks think they can do better,” Kornacki added.
Even when Pennsylvania shifted back blue in 2020, the heavily Hispanic areas of the Commonwealth continued to realign into the Republican Party.
“And again, this is very much a majority Hispanic city. Or Reading . . . you just take a look right here. Overwhelmingly Democratic, but from 2012, when Barack Obama won re-election, to 2020 when Biden carried Pennsylvania. That’s a drop of basically 20 points in the Democratic margin here in a heavily Hispanic city,” Kornacki continued.
“So the trend in the most Hispanic cities in Pennsylvania, as the state was getting more Democratic in 2020, they were becoming more Republican,” Kornacki concluded.
Latino voters are also heavily Catholic and the Left’s embrace of transgenderism and abortion-on-demand likely offends many of these voters.
Hispanic voters trending right could prove pivotal in November.
The coalitions are now scrambled with Kamala Harris in the race.
Donald Trump may not be able to win the 20 percent of black voters that polls showed him earning against Joe Biden.
But Hispanic voters could provide a security blanket in the state for Trump.
MSNBC's Steve Kornacki Spells Out Good News For Republicans Among Swing State Hispanic Voters pic.twitter.com/g4Hswz7nQa
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) July 31, 2024